Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.336853 1.524503 1.728825 1.967804 2.239662 2.539324 2.894748
2025-02-09 1.076370 1.339200 1.650704 2.047076 2.538137 3.126785 3.886537
2025-02-16 0.915496 1.210100 1.580420 2.080015 2.736683 3.570948 4.712653
2025-02-23 0.776975 1.079313 1.478151 2.042675 2.821571 3.859388 5.349490
2025-03-02 0.678727 0.984410 1.404917 2.025439 2.918412 4.158396 6.014455
2025-03-09 0.608339 0.917075 1.358012 2.033407 3.042646 4.496796 6.755986
2025-03-16 0.550360 0.859512 1.316441 2.040612 3.160628 4.829751 7.512638
2025-03-23 0.504694 0.814437 1.287012 2.060028 3.294313 5.192077 8.340061
2025-03-30 0.451504 0.751346 1.222655 2.016798 3.323303 5.391789 8.925790
2025-04-06 0.405835 0.695235 1.163108 1.973836 3.345790 5.578716 9.501411
2025-04-13 0.361603 0.636797 1.093757 1.906929 3.320411 5.682081 9.942209
2025-04-20 0.354237 0.640337 1.127581 2.016757 3.602058 6.317351 11.339516
2025-04-27 0.346742 0.643474 1.161845 2.132078 3.906564 7.022612 12.932801
2025-05-04 0.334355 0.636604 1.177880 2.216329 4.163400 7.666656 14.476262
2025-05-11 0.316012 0.616736 1.168317 2.252028 4.333232 8.166532 15.795791
2025-05-18 0.289323 0.578332 1.120847 2.211611 4.355520 8.394828 16.620066
2025-05-25 0.268099 0.548444 1.086598 2.192956 4.416761 8.699244 17.614272
2025-06-01 0.252120 0.527403 1.067371 2.201580 4.531173 9.113051 18.856661
2025-06-08 0.237449 0.507605 1.048741 2.209378 4.643798 9.530923 20.140717
2025-06-15 0.225367 0.492039 1.037188 2.230393 4.784656 10.015380 21.601406
2025-06-22 0.207709 0.462944 0.995218 2.183603 4.778801 10.197786 22.438915
2025-06-29 0.191654 0.435850 0.955106 2.137103 4.769064 10.370101 23.267194
2025-07-06 0.174780 0.405393 0.905192 2.064685 4.696176 10.401183 23.786285